The only way the current strategy of both sides changes is if a major factor changes, otherwise this cold standoff is the most stable place for both sides on the matter.
It could be that an election in Taiwan is won by a very pro-China party - a similar thing led to rapid changes in Hong Kong. Or an American leader changes tactics dramatically because theres no longer an incentive to support Taiwan.
Taiwan needs to be careful to guard against either situation happening.
Differing from many superpowers that came before the US, the US has a reputation of following through on what it says it will do long term, and the vast geopolitical diplomatic reach of the Americans means that for now, China would experience too high an economic cost to try and change this balance unilaterally.
Differing from many superpowers that came before the US, the US has a reputation of following through on what it says it will do long term
Not sure about that one chief.
Also not sure about saying that Taiwan needs to “be careful to guard against” a party being democratically elected with positions that the USA doesn’t like.
Especially when you consider that Biden and the powerful forces who actually get to decide how “the USA” responds to this are not for humanitarian reasons. “The USA” just wants nuclear launch sites as close as possible to China.
Are just following me around? Hey while you’re here, are the people of Xinjiang Chinese or not? I just want to know if I should refer to them as an oppressed population or an occupied country?
Of course the people of Xinjiang are Chinese. I suppose you could refer to the Uyghur (who aren’t the only people who live in Xinjiang) as an oppressed group, in the same way you could refer to African Americans or European Roma as an oppressed population.
The only way the current strategy of both sides changes is if a major factor changes, otherwise this cold standoff is the most stable place for both sides on the matter.
It could be that an election in Taiwan is won by a very pro-China party - a similar thing led to rapid changes in Hong Kong. Or an American leader changes tactics dramatically because theres no longer an incentive to support Taiwan.
Taiwan needs to be careful to guard against either situation happening.
Differing from many superpowers that came before the US, the US has a reputation of following through on what it says it will do long term, and the vast geopolitical diplomatic reach of the Americans means that for now, China would experience too high an economic cost to try and change this balance unilaterally.
Not sure about that one chief.
Also not sure about saying that Taiwan needs to “be careful to guard against” a party being democratically elected with positions that the USA doesn’t like.
Especially when you consider that Biden and the powerful forces who actually get to decide how “the USA” responds to this are not for humanitarian reasons. “The USA” just wants nuclear launch sites as close as possible to China.
Most of China’a infrastructure is on the coast. We can achieve that with a couple SSBNs lurking thousands of kilometers off the coast.
Bonus points if one surfaces where it can be photographed, but in international water, every so often. Just as a reminder.
Sinophobes once again unable to hide their bloodlust.
Are just following me around? Hey while you’re here, are the people of Xinjiang Chinese or not? I just want to know if I should refer to them as an oppressed population or an occupied country?
No, who are you?
Of course the people of Xinjiang are Chinese. I suppose you could refer to the Uyghur (who aren’t the only people who live in Xinjiang) as an oppressed group, in the same way you could refer to African Americans or European Roma as an oppressed population.
Oh no, oh gosh. I’m sorry to be the one to tell you this but I was told that if I criticized the Chinese government I have to be a Sinophobe.
It’s okay, we have groups. And cookies.
Least bad faith sinophobe.